I would like to know if daily, positive test results come from actual diagnostic testing, or do the totals also include antibody test results?
That's an important distinction because antibody tests show past infections, whereas diagnostic (antigen) tests show current active infections. When I looked at the Johns Hopkins University moving average national data on their website, it is unclear whether or not the states that were reporting the totals were including or excluding antibody tests. Could we be getting skewed and exaggerated data? Can anybody clarify?
To wit: " When states report testing numbers for COVID-19 infection, they should not include serology or antibody tests. Antibody tests are not used to diagnose active COVID-19 infection and they do not provide insights into the number of cases of COVID-19 diagnosed or whether viral testing is sufficient to find infections that are occurring within each state. States that include serology tests within their overall COVID-19 testing numbers are misrepresenting their testing capacity and the extent to which they are working to identify COVID-19 infections within their communities. States that wish to track the number of serology tests being performed should report those numbers separately from viral tests performed to diagnose COVID-19.."
And also, look at the CDC tracker. Does it appear that maybe the seven day average is kind of plateauing now, perhaps starting a decline? And by some of the states, AZ, TX and FL, the averages really are starting to decline as I see it. Should we be encouraged a bit? Not hearing this in the news though. Thoughts?